✅ DRAFT: D'Andre Swift
❌ DON'T DRAFT: TreVeyon Henderson
These guys are essentially back-to-back in ADP, and D'Andre Swift is the obvious choice for me. Assuming this isn't your RB1 (please tell me you've drafted an RB already...), Swift's median outcome is much safer. He's a reliable weekly starter and a guy who hasn't finished worse than an RB2 throughout his entire career. Both of these guys project to split some work this year, but TreVeyon Henderson is trending more clearly towards the RB2 role on his own team. Even though Henderson has more explosive upside, take Swift and be happy with the weekly floor play at RB2 or flex.
✅ DRAFT: Breece Hall
❌ DON'T DRAFT: Cam Skattebo
Another pairing of RBs going back-to-back in drafts. At this point, I expect both to be on decent-to-bad offenses. But Skattebo could split the work while Hall should have the backfield to himself. And while I see Skattebo having the higher overall ceiling, I think Breece's floor in a half or full PPR is a lot higher than his draft cost - you don't need Hall to score 10 touchdowns to pay off as an RB2; He was the RB2 in 2023 with just 5 scores on the ground. And I'm not saying completely fade Skattebo, but if you're staring these 2 guys down, I'd go with Hall.
✅ DRAFT: Davante Adams
❌ DON'T DRAFT: Luther Burden
I'm less "out" on Luther Burden than I was to start the offseason, because thankfully, the draft cost has come back down to earth a bit. Still, I don't think most people are factoring in how involved Colston Loveland and Rome Odunze are going to be. Unless Caleb Williams throws for 5,000 yards, I don't see how all 3 pay off for fantasy football - so naturally, I think there are better value options at the WR position. Davante Adams has a clear path to be the #2 on an offense Vegas expects to be top 3. And he's a bona fide redzone target with Matthew Stafford, which means you have weekly upside even when he's not getting 6+ targets every single game.
